πŸ“‹ Case Study

Refinery FCC Unit Predictive Maintenance Twin

Unplanned shutdowns averaging 17 hrs/unit/yr costing ~$1.2M each

πŸ—οΈ Project Overview

Digital twin deployment across 4 fluid catalytic cracking units in Texas Gulf Coast refinery

🎯 Challenge

Unplanned shutdowns averaging 17 hrs/unit/yr costing ~$1.2M each

πŸ”§ Design Approach

Multi-physics twin coupling reactor hydrodynamics, regenerator thermodynamics, and catalyst circulation dynamics; embedded with unscented Kalman filter for state estimation

πŸ“ Design Diagram

FCC ReactorRegeneratorMulti-Physics Twin(Reactor + Regen + Catalyst Flow)Unplanned Shutdowns17 hrs/unit/yrCost per Event$1.2MΔṁ_cat = +4.2 t/hβˆ‡T = βˆ’82Β°CUKF State Estimation Embeddedβœ“ Real-time Correction

AI-generated project design illustration

πŸ“ Key Calculations

Catalyst Circulation Rate Deviation

Δṁ_cat = ṁ_measured βˆ’ ṁ_twin
Result: +4.2 t/h
Early indicator of cyclone erosion

Regenerator Bed Temp Gradient

βˆ‡T = T_top βˆ’ T_bottom
Result: βˆ’82Β°C
Threshold >βˆ’75Β°C triggers inspection

πŸ“Š Results

83% reduction in unplanned outages, 92% accuracy in >48-hr failure prediction, 4.7x ROI in Year 2

πŸ’‘ Lessons Learned

  • β€’Twin must include mechanical wear modelsβ€”not just thermofluidic states
  • β€’Edge preprocessing reduces cloud inference latency by 63%

βœ… Key Takeaways

  • 1Twin must include mechanical wear modelsβ€”not just thermofluidic states
  • 2Edge preprocessing reduces cloud inference latency by 63%